There have been several large-scale gambles of late. Some have hit the back of the net and others, such as the huge plunge on Percythepinto this week who lost his race at the start, have hit the crossbar.
One big punt that was landed, though, was last Sunday’s gamble on Koup De Kanon and he should win again at Market Rasen tomorrow (2.20pm) – a 7lbs penalty unlikely to stop him.
This chap became my first winning nap of the new National Hunt tipster competition last Sunday with trainer Donald McCain revealing in his Saturday Betfair column that the horse was very well-handicapped on his first run since leaving Emma Lavelle.
A decent-priced winning nap was the thinking and Koup De Kanon opened up at 3-1 yet, come off-time, the five-year-old had been punted right down to 6-5 – having even touched odds-on – one of the biggest gambles of recent months.
Unsurprisingly, Koup De Kanon absolutely hacked up, winning by an eased down seven lengths and he must be streets ahead of the handicapper given both the money for him and the manner of his victory.
He runs again tomorrow, carrying the mandatory penalty, but the handicapper will probably clobber him at least a stone and, as with last weekend’s race, there appears little in the way of frightful opposition.
Get on early is probably the best policy before the price goes as punters will surely come for this chap again – the horse is also entered in races on Monday and Tuesday, suggesting he might well win here before bidding to quickly go in again.
He rates a confident selection on a day featuring two National Hunt cards with the Flat season over after today’s November Handicap at Doncaster.
Paul Hanagan will have been crowned champion jockey on Town Moor but Tony McCoy remains very much the best in the jumps business and he can land a double at Ffos Las on Temple Lord (2.35pm) and Caddie Master (3.45pm).
McCoy has been superb at Ffos Las ever since the Welsh track opened and Temple Lord – who was a three-times Listed winner in France – will come on a ton for his recent re-appearance after 700 days off. He could be a reasonable price and thus warrants the nap.
Caddie Master, meanwhile, is on a roll at present having won his last three and despite going up 15lbs for his last success he has another good opportunity to go in again – the horse is also entered for another handicap at Exeter on Wednesday.
Elsewhere at Ffos Las, Lambourn trainer Alan King stands a good chance of continuing his fine start to the season with both Bygones of Brid (1pm) and Habbie Simpson (2.05pm).
Fennis Boy, meanwhile, looks a good thing for Tom Vaughan and Richard Johnson back at Market Rasen (1.45pm) – Into Wain will need to be very smart to beat him – while Aidan O’Brien and John Oxx will no doubt mop up at the Curragh.
O’Brien’s Twirl (12.50pm), Hail (1.20pm) and Tibet (3pm) all look likely winners, with Weld then having strong chances in the last two with Unaccompanied (3.35pm) and Hidden Universe (4.05pm).
Looks easy on paper – if only it was that simple!