Ollie Watkins expected to strike with Marcelo Bielsa's Leeds United facing alien concept at Brentford
LEEDS UNITED are in the unfamiliar position of underdogs for tonight's Championship clash at Brentford whose red-hot Ollie Watkins is not surprisingly rated the man most likely to find the net.
Second-placed Leeds have been favourites for just about every fixture so far this season but can finally be backed at decent odds to win at Griffin Park with Marcelo Bielsa's men as big as 2-1 to win at Brentford for the first time in 70 years.
United's awful record both historically at Brentford and more recently in London as a whole is well documented with the Whites having gone ten games without winning at the Bees and also ten games without winning at any team in the capital.
Leeds also arrive following four defeats from their last five league games yet there is not an awful lot between the two sides in the outright market with Thomas Frank's fifth-placed Bees available at 29-20 and the draw on offer at 12-5 but Brentford are favourites across the board to record the victory that would boot Leeds out of the automatic promotion spots.
Watkins, who is the division's joint top-scorer with 20 alongside Fulham's Aleksandar Mitrovic, is 5-1 favourite to score first and just 9-5 as an any time scorer though United's no 9 Patrick Bamford is not far behind at just 6-1 to score first despite having netted in only one of his last eight games.
Nevertheless, with new striker Jean-Kevin Augustin still in the adaptation process and gaining fitness, Bamford seems certain to start as the lone striker, especially with Tyler Roberts out following a kick to the calf. Bamford is consequently only 2-1 to net at any point during the match.
After Watkins and Bamford, Brentford's 12-goal Bryan Mbuemo is next in the list at 13-2 to score first, followed by Augustin at 7s.
The 22-year-old Frenchman is only 27-10 to net his first goal for Leeds at some point during the match.
But thereafter, Brentford have the next four in the first scorer market in the shape of new recruit Tariqe Fosu-Henry, Emiliano Marcondes, Said Benrahma and Halil Dervisoglu who are all 8s.
Benrahma already has eight goals for the season and looks a good price at 8s or 7-2 to score any time.
No goalscorer is next at 17-2 before the next United men in Pablo Hernandez (19-2) plus wingers Jack Harrison and Helder Costa who are both 10s.
Against his former side, Pontus Jansson is 28-1 to score first and 11-1 to score at any point during the match. The big Swede is 40-1 to be sent off and only 11-4 to be shown a card.
But the upshot is that Brentford are fancied to condemn Leeds to a fifth defeat from their last six games - even if a 1-1 draw is favourite in the correct score market at 23-4, followed by a 1-0 win for the Bees (15-2), 1-0 win for the Whites (17-2) and 2-1 success for the hosts (9s).
Not a lot in it but Leeds United are rated second best, something rarely experienced in the bookmakers' markets under Marcelo Bielsa.