TRUST LEEDS United to provide a love-ly Valentine’s Day cash boost by beating Millwall at a rather generous looking 6-5.
The two main negatives in punting Leeds are last weekend’s 1-0 loss at home to Brentford, and the fact that Millwall also won away on Tuesday at Birmingham City.
Put two and two together and you may come up with another away win on Saturday and the Lions will have their supporters at a best-priced 13-5 with Boylesports and BetVictor.
But everything else points towards a Whites victory with United currently seventh in the Championship form table – taken over the last six games – and only two points off second.
Millwall sit 19th in that same Championship form table and while plenty will lack confidence in Leeds at home after the Brentford defeat, the January banishing of then leaders Bournemouth is still fresh in the memory.
Whether head coach Neil Redfearn reverts to the 4-5-1 formation that is working so well away from home remains to be seen – you suspect not at Elland Road – but either way Millwall are no Brentford.
There are 22 points between the two sides and Leeds are facing a far inferior rival to the Bees team that lined up at Elland Road last weekend.
That’s not to say that Millwall won’t put up a damn good fight, especially buoyed by the mid-week win at Birmingham, and Redfearn is probably right in predicting an affair that’s cagey.
Under 2.5 goals is probably a fair bet at 8-11 with Betfred and the head says a 2-0 win to the Whites which is 21-2 with BetVictor.
It’s only a shame that the Luke Murphy first goalscorer ship has sailed.
We put him up to score first in both of the last two Saturday’s at 28-1 only for him to net first at Reading but such was the magnitude of that victory, we are not complaining.
Murphy is unsurprisingly a lot shorter this weekend at 16-1 with Ricardo Fuller considered the most likely Millwall first scorer at 15-2.
But football has a habit of providing headlines that are written in the stars and surely if Steve Morison is to break his Whites duck for the season it will come against his former club.
Morison still hasn’t scored for United this term but he’s getting closer and closer after hitting the post on Tuesday and with Redfearn singing his praises there seems little doubt that he will start this weekend.
Despite being a striker, he’s a juicy 13-2 to net first with various firms and 5-2 to score any time with Stan James and both of those look tempting.
Let’s hope Morison’s first goal for Leeds United this term is well worth the wait.
Leeds United to beat Millwall - 6-5 with Bet365, totesport, BetVictor, Ladbrokes.
Under 2.5 goals – 8-11 with Betred.
Leeds to win 2-0 – 21-2 with BetVictor.
Steve Morison to score first – 13-2 with Bet365, Betfred, Betvictor, Stan James.
Steve Morison to score any time at all – 5-2 with Stan James.