Wednesday's all-weather racing pretty much summed it up for me as regards this latest naps competition.
My research paid off as Silence Is Bliss (4-1), Prize Point (13-8), Norman Orpen (10-11) and Franco Is My Name (11-4) all won – four tips, four winners and 94 to a 1 accumulator stake – only for the nap of the day Red Rhythm to get sunk at 10-11 after breaking a blood vessel!
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Sod's law and from now on the biggest-priced fancy can be nap material – it's the only way up in the long run – with Robinson Collonges looking a big price around the 7-1 mark for tomorrow's December Gold Cup at Cheltenham (2.30pm).
As with today's action, it looks nigh on certain that Cheltenham will be the only National Hunt fixture tomorrow. But it looks like being one to savour.
And while for my money Master Minded is a certainty bar a fall in the Tingle Creek Chase (1.55pm), it is the Gold Cup that offers up the juicy prices.
Leading the market at around the 5-1 mark is the Nicky Henderson-trained Dave's Dream who hacked up in his first race since a wind operation with plenty still left in the locker.
He may well go in again but the fact remains he has gone up 11lbs and that will not be music to Henderson's ears, the trainer admitting after his latest victory that Dave's Dream was hardly well-handicapped.
Second-best in the market is Little Josh, a game winner of the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time, but again he has rocketed 9lbs up the weights and that might just stop him – especially with the form of the Paddy
Power race not looking massively strong.
And then there is Robinson Collonges, still a novice at just five and a horse with whom the handicapper has no real clue at all.
It's a bit of a punt with Robinson Collonges but the horse has always been very highly-regarded and is with the best trainer possible in Paul Nicholls.
After fluffing his lines in his first run since leaving France last year, he has looked the real deal in three races since and would now be on a four-timer but for tipping up when about to beat the very smart Wishfull Thinking.
His latest victory, in an egg and spoon race at Huntingdon, told us nothing other than the horse is fit and well but Robinson Collonges could quite simply be anything and odds of around 7-1 look more than
fair given the horse's connections.
The news that the excellent Noel Fehily is still not fit enough to ride was a blow and almost had me switching allegiances to Daves Dream, but let's give Fehily's replacement, Harry Skelton, a chance to get the job done. Either way, Dave's Dream is a big danger and most likely winner if Robinson bombs out, so, at 5-1, he is worth a saver.
As it is the day's punting will hopefully be straight-forward with a decent bet on Master Minded at 10-11 expected to pay for the day. We all know after last season's disappointments that Master Minded is no longer bomb-proof, but the seven-year-old looked back to his brilliant best at Ascot last time and there is nothing in opposition tomorrow that strikes any fear.
Gauvain is at least unexposed but even the horse's connections admit he is unlikely to be a Master Minded. So, if the former Champion Chaser runs his race and jumps his fences he hacks up, making 10-11 look very big indeed.
Other fancies include the very-progressive Marsh Warbler (12.10pm) who trainer Brian Ellison rates as "awesome", as well as Cue Card who can maintain his unbeaten record in a red-hot looking International Hurdle (3.50pm) with Menorah and Silviniaco Conti in opposition.
As for the day's sand racing, Oversteer (12 noon) and Custard Cream Kid (1.45pm) look the best bets at Southwell, with Final Drive looking good for the evening finale at Wolves (8.50pm).
Best of luck and let's hope this time I've picked the right one!