Horse racing: Head for the Hills as well as Catterick!

Nine consecutive winning naps is an achievement whichever way you look at it but, truth be told, some of them have hardly been difficult to pick.

And, while Catterick are all set to belatedly kick-off 2011 tomorrow, another almost certain winner goes at Southwell in the shape of Brian

Smart's Hambleton-trained Dubai Hills (3.30pm).

With the New Year's Day's card at Catterick having come a cropper, tomorrow will be the course's first fixture of the new year and how refreshing to see temperatures of double figures forecast, meaning the meeting should be fine as regards the weather.

Hopefully bets on Heavenly Chorus (3.20pm) and Rey Nacarado (2.20pm) will pay for the day but there is little doubting what tomorrow's good thing is in Dubai Hills – bar a major mishap.

More than ever right now trainers taking advantage of the mandatory penalty system which is basically when a horse wins easily yet it is only penalised seven pounds if runs again within seven days of the victory.

It means horses can get into races blatantly well-handicapped, especially the ones who will get smashed by the handicapper once the seven days is up, and that's just what will happen to Dubai Hills.

Tomorrow he gets in under just his two recent penalties – so 12lbs extra – and on form no way will it stop him as the assessor will nail him more than that for certain.

It can be argued that 12lbs is quite a hike anyway but Dubai Hills' last two victories have come with such ease that it's no exaggeration to suggest that double that amount will not stop him.

And, while Conroy and especially Striker Torres are no mugs whatsoever, Dubai Hills will have to under-perform massively to not cash in again and anything near the forecast 1-2 odds should be buying money, not that anything in racing is certain.

Other likely winners from the already declared all-weather cards tomorrow are First Rock (1.30pm Southwell) and at better odds Double Duchess looks interesting at Kempton (6.50pm), but Heavenly Chorus (3.20pm) and Rey Nacarado (2.20pm) should have excellent prospects if running at Catterick.

Heavenly Chorus is only entered at the North Yorkshire venue, so looks nigh on certain to run and is nigh-on guaranteed to go close judged on the way she readily did the business over course and distance last time.

A nine pound rise may not be enough to stop her and it's a similar tale with Ray Nacarado who bolted up at Plumpton last month – a 9lbs rise is unlikely to be the ceiling of this unexposed horse's ability.

He is also entered at Kempton and Ffos Las on Saturday and Sunday and should be followed wherever he goes.

Best of luck.

Kalvin Phillips celebrates scoring Leeds' second goal of the game Picture by Simon Hulme

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