Unsurprisingly bookmakers are at odds regarding Leeds United’s chances at home to Millwall.
But there’s no debate in this camp and get on at 11-10 to make those going odds against pay.
United’s recent home record is dismal – two points from their last 12 – and something is certainly not clicking at Elland Road at present.
However, before the draw against Ipswich the Whites had won four on the spin at home and It’s only a matter of time before the form turns full circle.
With Millwall no great shakes away and Leeds determined to “do it for Speedo” today’s fixture seems the perfect opportunity.
Some may worry about the “Millwall curse” but that the ghost was somewhat laid to rest at Elland Road last August when the Whites were 3-1 winners.
The visitors have also scored just seven goals on their travels this term – the third worst in the division – and they make limited appeal at 3-1 with the Londoners also rumoured to be bringing only a few hundred fans.
And contrast that to what will be yelling the home side forward – a likely 30,000 fanatical fans who will desperately hoping for an emotional victory six days on from the tragic death of Gary Speed.
The general feeling is that Tuesday night’s success at Forest was the result for Speedo but Leeds will also want to put in a similar performance of dedication in their own back yard.
And with confidence bound to be brimming following the midweek cakewalk everything seemingly points to a home victory.
The draw, for what it’s worth, is priced at 5-2 but the same price is Leeds to be leading at half-time and full time and that makes lots of appeal this week with Simon Grayson likely to send his side out at Millwall’s jugular from the off.
Given Millwall’s goalscoring record away from home – it might even be a day for a rare home clean sheet and 3-0 looks decent value at 18-1 with 2-0 available at 10s.
Ross McCormack makes easily the most appeal on the first scorer front – his barren run ended with last week’s storming free-kick and the odds of 11-2 about him looking generous with Luciano Becchio also considered at 6s.
Sod’s law, watch Millwall now go and nick a 1-0 win!